Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cdacfa5c4d361713d19c27074e48977b8d15174d3cbcffd3261939c1cb4e28f

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Gibraltarof Gibraltar, British Virgin Islands
Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,744 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed British Virgin Islands	49c	2,665$1,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,298.47	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Gibraltar	49c	939$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.89	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Gibraltar	52c	811.54$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.54	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed British Virgin Islands	52c	600$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Gibraltar	49c	599.82$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.91	144	33.3%48 W · 96 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed British Virgin Islands	51c	599.82$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.91	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gibraltar	61c	493.19$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.52	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked British Virgin Islands	48c	475.46$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.24	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Gibraltar	49c	463.53$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.62	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Gibraltar	50c	431.83$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.13	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed British Virgin Islands	17c	422$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.91	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Gibraltar	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked British Virgin Islands	48c	324.18$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.61	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Gibraltar	49c	220$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.2	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Gibraltar	49c	214.29$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.29	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Gibraltar	48c	199.98$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.99	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed Gibraltar	51c	199.98$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.99	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.20per pick	32cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Gibraltar	49c	180$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.2	237	32.1%76 W · 161 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked British Virgin Islands	54c	166.98$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.55	210	46.7%98 W · 112 L	+12.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x189d…5561backed Gibraltar	46c	160.22$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.52	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Gibraltar	49c	150.92$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.97	418	57.9%242 W · 176 L	+14.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Gibraltar	46c	149.85$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.92	291	54%157 W · 134 L	+21.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Gibraltar	52c	144.23$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.23	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed British Virgin Islands	54c	142.96$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.61	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Gibraltar	49c	130.31$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.23	105	39%41 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Gibraltar	50c	126$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	197	46.2%91 W · 106 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed British Virgin Islands	51c	115$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.65	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Gibraltar	73c	108$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.77	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Gibraltar	47c	96$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.87	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed British Virgin Islands	53c	86.7$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.86	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked British Virgin Islands	23c	86.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed British Virgin Islands	41c	85.29$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	151	56.3%85 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…1c82backed Gibraltar	56c	79$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.76	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+139.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Gibraltar	49c	71.43$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.43	271	54.6%148 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed British Virgin Islands	52c	65.38$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	236	58.1%137 W · 99 L	+20.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92db…68d2backed Gibraltar	49c	62.24$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.74	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed British Virgin Islands	52c	58.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.22	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed British Virgin Islands	49c	56.72$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.79	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked British Virgin Islands	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d92…68e8backed British Virgin Islands	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed British Virgin Islands	52c	40.72$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	315	50.8%160 W · 155 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Gibraltar	70c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.2	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed British Virgin Islands	44c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	137	45.3%62 W · 75 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed British Virgin Islands	44c	39$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	379	50.1%190 W · 189 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed British Virgin Islands	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	200	47%94 W · 106 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked British Virgin Islands	54c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Gibraltar	50c	36$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Gibraltar	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	174	59.8%104 W · 70 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Gibraltar	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	242	57.9%140 W · 102 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Gibraltar	47c	29.32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.67	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb781…deefbacked British Virgin Islands	52c	23.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked British Virgin Islands	49c	22.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked British Virgin Islands	54c	20.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked British Virgin Islands	54c	19.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	70	55.7%39 W · 31 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a19…2a91backed Gibraltar	58c	18.97$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Gibraltar	62c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	101	57.4%58 W · 43 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)this page
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 0.5Over won
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 1.5Over won
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 2.5Over won
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 3.5Over won
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 4.5Under won
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: British Virgin Islands (-1.5)Gibraltar won
Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)Gibraltar won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event