Fifa International · resolved market
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05298104cb098d42dd658839b2c7e42f6f194790f1bd310d53b37955bfbd869f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 80c | 1,863$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.5 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 16c | 1,395$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…cc9fbacked Under | 22c | 1,379$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 734.49$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Under | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 481.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 18c | 478.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 368.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 314.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 79c | 243.47$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 79c | 242.05$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 21c | 220$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 21c | 191.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 9c | 183$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 21c | 175.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 78c | 171$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 21c | 104.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Under | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 77c | 82.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 15c | 77.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 79c | 70.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 80c | 66.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 79c | 24.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 79c | 24.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 80c | 24.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 80c | 20.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…5bdcbacked Over | 80c | 13.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 1.5this page
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: British Virgin Islands (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)Gibraltar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.