Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d7ca75609b1791ec47adfe9bb5854ddf5be6dae1fb1fd2f0ed93dfdcd250dc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gibraltarof Gibraltar, British Virgin Islands
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Gibraltar | 50c | 2,071$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.56 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Gibraltar | 27c | 971.3$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.81 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed British Virgin Islands | 61c | 883.9$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.87 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked British Virgin Islands | 75c | 683.18$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.84 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed British Virgin Islands | 24c | 480.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed British Virgin Islands | 75c | 309.7$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.73 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked British Virgin Islands | 76c | 257.58$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Gibraltar | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Gibraltar | 26c | 157.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed British Virgin Islands | 75c | 132.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked British Virgin Islands | 9c | 118.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Gibraltar | 26c | 88.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed British Virgin Islands | 75c | 87.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…1c82backed Gibraltar | 29c | 79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Gibraltar | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked British Virgin Islands | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Gibraltar | 30c | 53.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked British Virgin Islands | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked British Virgin Islands | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed British Virgin Islands | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed British Virgin Islands | 71c | 32.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed British Virgin Islands | 77c | 32.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed British Virgin Islands | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed British Virgin Islands | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed British Virgin Islands | 73c | 24.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed British Virgin Islands | 73c | 23.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c3…7f0fbacked Gibraltar | 65c | 22.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked British Virgin Islands | 76c | 20.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed British Virgin Islands | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)this page
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: British Virgin Islands (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)Gibraltar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.