Fifa International · resolved market
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcffc79b7f5a891c4e728d2a28dcbb0c00e9a6df6a461a08c5706b4d4724a8295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.08 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 69c | 1,355$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.9 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 1,117$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.39 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 960.12$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 57c | 877.19$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.23 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…5cd9backed Over | 55c | 781.87$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 20c | 599.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 555.17$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.79 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 29c | 520$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 511.51$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 17c | 494.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 71c | 467.85$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 68c | 426.85$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 62c | 420.05$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Under | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 20c | 328$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 323.5$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 46c | 298.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 67c | 296.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Under | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 18c | 197$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 67c | 163.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 217 | 22.1%48 W · 169 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 64c | 156.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 80c | 156$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…baf6backed Under | 65c | 151.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…846bbacked Under | 71c | 145.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Under | 38c | 145$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Over | 13c | 138.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Under | 51c | 101$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 53c | 97.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 13c | 88.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Over | 67c | 87.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 29c | 86.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 31c | 77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…eff6backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 69c | 58.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 40c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 63c | 48.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 30c | 41.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 64c | 36.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 60c | 24.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…387abacked Under | 71c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 80c | 20.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 4.5this page
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: British Virgin Islands (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)Gibraltar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.