Fifa International · resolved market
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33d8067cc4cb4fe5a106a6dff16e68667a2316f6e7a4df5a45e307b09c7011d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 1,682$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 14c | 1,300$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 74c | 1,281$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 7c | 1,105$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67f3…a670backed Over | 7c | 900.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544b…83a1backed Over | 7c | 891.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…3b81backed Over | 7c | 881.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 6c | 878.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 18c | 870$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…ecb6backed Over | 7c | 786.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…46e9backed Over | 7c | 701.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 8c | 577.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 9c | 425$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 7c | 328$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 7c | 314$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…e9cfbacked Under | 76c | 306.17$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 18c | 246.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 75c | 235.85$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…0534backed Under | 75c | 227.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 7c | 157.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 28c | 135.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 28c | 58.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…74d2backed Under | 72c | 49.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 74c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 75c | 38.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 29c | 35.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…e96abacked Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5this page
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: British Virgin Islands (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)Gibraltar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.