TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef04…f6e3backed Under55c3,939$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.034746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under17c2,986$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under45c2,500$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13714433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d6b…5cd9backed Over57c1,759$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under45c1,148$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.0217447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over79c1,117$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.392,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under27c1,036$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over31c999.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under46c943.77$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.1312146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over47c814.05$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.52,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over39c746.69$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.3441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over37c694.85$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.221,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under52c683.5$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1870750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under13c621.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3220150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38443826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under64c599.99$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9922041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Over57c562.03$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8826647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over40c544.53$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0914342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under15c534.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.28643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under16c528.51$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.822,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under8c504.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under67c499.5$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.567828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over36c463.64$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7376551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over45c441.14$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.741526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under20c438.95$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.63,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over79c401$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2811238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over47c397.95$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.623,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c379.36$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.54,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under70c359.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under52c342.31$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17835150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under68c291.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under53c281$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.936349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over48c259.31$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.842,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under44c188.63$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8319946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over56c174.8$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.914351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f4a…cf21backed Over34c158.83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc4…3b29backed Over34c158.46$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over56c156.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8838439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Under66c150.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under67c148.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over46c138$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9251859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeeb0…c9f8backed Under66c132.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c126.74$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.654,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Under65c121.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over35c118.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6520330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under60c110.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2521046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over38c99.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7935658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Under62c99.66$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.794346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c97.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.721,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over38c93.51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.363,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over46c91.3$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3293542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8781…2d2ebacked Under55c89.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.296050%30 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over34c85.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.297824.4%19 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x023e…a3b9backed Under66c82.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over56c82.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8b…8925backed Under66c78.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef4a…0314backed Under66c77.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Under55c76.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.093647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Under68c73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6410253.9%55 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over35c71.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4216040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under21c62.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0469744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over34c52.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.061,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3994…1fadbacked Under58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9639…2823backed Over43c49.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over33c48.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3984844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013557.8%78 W · 57 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under63c44.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.033,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under66c44.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.118,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over44c44.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.869230.4%28 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8682340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over80c43.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7527154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa839…6f8cbacked Under66c39.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98cb…26bcbacked Under66c37.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb431…b654backed Over34c33.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0463…f69ebacked Over34c33.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1193…e998backed Over34c33.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4c…cec8backed Over34c31.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under61c29.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.337348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over39c28.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Over51c26.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.957163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under66c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8416659.6%99 W · 67 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Under52c22.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8227058.1%157 W · 113 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Over47c21.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3722421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb2…82e5backed Over56c18.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.253336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.