TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Halmstads BKof IK Sirius, Halmstads BK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,548 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Halmstads BK69c717.01$495 inWon+$221.577,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39e7…ceedbacked IK Sirius28c714.29$200 inLost-$2005358.5%31 W · 22 L+10.8wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+72.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked IK Sirius28c714.29$200 inLost-$2007638.2%29 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Halmstads BK72c448.99$323 inWon+$125.721,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Halmstads BK72c226.29$163 inWon+$63.3632436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Halmstads BK72c215.3$155 inWon+$60.2837049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed IK Sirius27c199.96$54 inLost-$53.99850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed IK Sirius7c155.82$11 inLost-$11.3571533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed IK Sirius52c106.48$55 inLost-$55.182,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Halmstads BK40c100$40 inWon+$603046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed IK Sirius60c100$60 inLost-$601,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Halmstads BK44c68.18$30 inWon+$38.182556%14 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Halmstads BK73c67.93$50 inWon+$18.3421454.2%116 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed IK Sirius26c60.69$16 inLost-$15.7812449.2%61 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Halmstads BK74c42.56$31 inWon+$11.069135.2%32 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Halmstads BK71c42.42$30 inWon+$12.3430550.8%155 W · 150 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Halmstads BK65c39.75$26 inWon+$14.0591148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Halmstads BK70c30.01$21 inWon+$9.1424851.6%128 W · 120 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Halmstads BK75c26.67$20 inWon+$6.673253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Halmstads BK70c26.45$18 inWon+$7.9633959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Halmstads BK73c25.31$18 inWon+$6.8918756.1%105 W · 82 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked IK Sirius59c25.18$15 inLost-$14.774535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Halmstads BK67c24.29$16 inWon+$7.9627554.9%151 W · 124 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25b4…635abacked Halmstads BK73c16.53$12 inWon+$4.461145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.