Other European Leagues · resolved market
Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dd975f78d46c6459551126741cbd90aa63fcad509c0a0e7a24be067a0cecb18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Under | 30c | 3,290$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.07 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 1,354$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 905$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.5 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 70c | 409.51$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 70c | 284.1$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 70c | 251.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 30c | 208.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 179.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 70c | 150.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 69c | 135.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 70c | 128.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 70c | 78.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f96…7a8abacked Over | 70c | 75.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 69c | 65.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 70c | 52.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 70c | 51.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over | 72c | 20.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 1.5this page
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: Halmstads BK O/U 0.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: Halmstads BK O/U 1.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: Halmstads BK O/U 2.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 0.5Over won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5Over won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 4.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Halmstads BK (-1.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)Halmstads BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.