Tennis · resolved market
Kingston 2: Karl Poling vs Thomas Fancutt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf613a31d415d7d499817cad5dec91849320f92455ed0bb7637e5824f85d1fcb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thomas Fancuttof Karl Poling, Thomas Fancutt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Karl Poling | 43c | 1,402$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.9 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karl Poling | 15c | 941.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Thomas Fancutt | 57c | 800.51$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.2 | 223 | 41.3%92 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Thomas Fancutt | 66c | 739.84$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.55 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karl Poling | 36c | 537.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.78 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Thomas Fancutt | 74c | 386.87$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Thomas Fancutt | 61c | 383.83$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thomas Fancutt | 66c | 363$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.19 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Karl Poling | 8c | 254.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 162 | 30.9%50 W · 112 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Karl Poling | 33c | 247.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Karl Poling | 59c | 232.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Karl Poling | 41c | 192.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Thomas Fancutt | 40c | 116.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Karl Poling | 16c | 112$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thomas Fancutt | 41c | 103.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Thomas Fancutt | 41c | 97.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Karl Poling | 20c | 96.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Karl Poling | 32c | 66.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karl Poling | 46c | 56.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Karl Poling | 36c | 50.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Karl Poling | 59c | 47.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Thomas Fancutt | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Karl Poling | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Karl Poling | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Thomas Fancutt | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Thomas Fancutt | 66c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Karl Poling | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Karl Poling | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.