TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kingston 2: Edward Winter vs Andres Andrade

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Andres Andradeof Edward Winter, Andres Andrade
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Andres Andrade76c12,460$9,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.958,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Edward Winter15c11,569$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.84,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Edward Winter30c4,222$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.3222662.8%142 W · 84 L+15.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Edward Winter30c4,148$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.542,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andres Andrade70c2,671$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.698,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd2…afcebacked Edward Winter22c2,422$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.827544%33 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Edward Winter10c2,062$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Edward Winter24c2,043$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.581,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Edward Winter39c1,971$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.554,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Edward Winter25c1,200$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29782159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Andres Andrade50c1,184$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.561,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4eb…999abacked Edward Winter30c837.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.663857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Andres Andrade75c771.97$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.212,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Edward Winter58c700$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4062,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Edward Winter7c652.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.632,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf068…849cbacked Edward Winter23c641.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Edward Winter30c604.47$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2515956%89 W · 70 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Andres Andrade78c590.74$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0138459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Andres Andrade61c459.01$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.012,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56dd…83d5backed Edward Winter9c419.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Edward Winter13c396.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.964,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Andres Andrade60c387.73$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.775,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Edward Winter30c336.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6416561.2%101 W · 64 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Edward Winter22c330.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7218731%58 W · 129 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Edward Winter24c301.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0970254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Edward Winter16c300.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0422020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Edward Winter40c266.63$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6525542%107 W · 148 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Andres Andrade75c218.92$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.23,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Andres Andrade77c212$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.764,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Edward Winter8c204.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2522035.9%79 W · 141 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Edward Winter27c191.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5235039.4%138 W · 212 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Edward Winter40c167.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.497,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6851…ec54backed Edward Winter11c165.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4110947.7%52 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Andres Andrade62c139$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Edward Winter13c118.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.891,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Andres Andrade69c118$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.161,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Andres Andrade78c115.84$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.11,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Edward Winter12c113.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Andres Andrade58c112.6$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.323,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Edward Winter40c112.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4535164.7%227 W · 124 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Andres Andrade79c104.6$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5864837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Edward Winter39c101.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.541,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Andres Andrade72c100.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4754141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Edward Winter40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Andres Andrade78c99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.345,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Andres Andrade49c97.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.952,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Andres Andrade70c85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.686,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Andres Andrade58c83.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3537058.4%216 W · 154 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9d1…73edbacked Edward Winter61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508867%59 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733c…521bbacked Edward Winter30c79.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.735851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Edward Winter15c73.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4221147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Edward Winter28c72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.392,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0001…4780backed Edward Winter22c66.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea5…6c53backed Andres Andrade53c64.81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4621848.2%105 W · 113 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Edward Winter51c60.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.036,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Edward Winter32c56.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1819057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Andres Andrade58c56.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.441,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc40…6ae3backed Edward Winter38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205752.6%30 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Edward Winter39c51.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Andres Andrade61c51.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Andres Andrade60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021056.2%118 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Edward Winter22c49.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.797851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Edward Winter30c49.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.759461.7%58 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Edward Winter23c49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2742946.4%199 W · 230 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e84…2e87backed Edward Winter29c48.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.132544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Edward Winter30c47.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.27262.5%45 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d8…da3bbacked Edward Winter59c45.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.427448.5%133 W · 141 L+24.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Andres Andrade44c43.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1428852.8%152 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Edward Winter37c41.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.271,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Edward Winter37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Andres Andrade60c32.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8922152.9%117 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa678…dd59backed Andres Andrade63c31.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7410855.6%60 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Andres Andrade77c31.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3342748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Edward Winter60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1834864.1%223 W · 125 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Edward Winter59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.623954.8%131 W · 108 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66eb…a375backed Edward Winter58c29.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8910038%38 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Edward Winter37c28.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.440861.3%250 W · 158 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Andres Andrade61c27.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8720558.5%120 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Edward Winter40c25.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Edward Winter40c25.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.122,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Andres Andrade46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.544758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Andres Andrade61c19.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6730268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.