Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9337b4b24661fc496746a5970480cfcda16ca08cccb21d186ca38f2e31e23cf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 25c | 1,521$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.89 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 26c | 1,499$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.52 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…843fbacked Under | 75c | 1,481$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 25c | 1,471$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.07 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Under | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 78c | 587.43$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under | 74c | 340$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 75c | 252$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…5e31backed Under | 75c | 239.89$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…3415backed Under | 77c | 211.89$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 74c | 202.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Under | 74c | 189.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Under | 76c | 172.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 76c | 136.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 77c | 127.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Under | 76c | 124.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 76.5%39 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Under | 75c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Under | 75c | 38.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…753cbacked Under | 73c | 20.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.