Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton 2: Billy Blaydes vs Matteo Martineau
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe600b2da5421cc7ba2e0938c6736369fc54be2dde83696fd3811edef2d710d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Martineauof Billy Blaydes, Matteo Martineau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Billy Blaydes | 38c | 4,005$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.04 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +21.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matteo Martineau | 76c | 2,261$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Billy Blaydes | 23c | 2,167$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.87 | 1,101 | 45.1%497 W · 604 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Matteo Martineau | 65c | 2,017$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.3 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Billy Blaydes | 15c | 1,366$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Matteo Martineau | 61c | 1,210$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.94 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Billy Blaydes | 7c | 740$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Billy Blaydes | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Billy Blaydes | 34c | 595.01$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Billy Blaydes | 7c | 543.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Matteo Martineau | 76c | 508.14$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Matteo Martineau | 66c | 449.45$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Billy Blaydes | 36c | 423.32$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Billy Blaydes | 35c | 410.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Matteo Martineau | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Billy Blaydes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 669 | 38.9%260 W · 409 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Matteo Martineau | 71c | 222.82$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Martineau | 67c | 200.66$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Matteo Martineau | 74c | 170.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Matteo Martineau | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 443 | 59.8%265 W · 178 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Billy Blaydes | 33c | 150.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Matteo Martineau | 62c | 143.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Billy Blaydes | 34c | 133.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Billy Blaydes | 34c | 133.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Billy Blaydes | 30c | 129.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1,965 | 46.4%911 W · 1,054 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Martineau | 75c | 123.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Billy Blaydes | 20c | 113.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Matteo Martineau | 62c | 105.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Billy Blaydes | 37c | 100.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Billy Blaydes | 36c | 96.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Billy Blaydes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Billy Blaydes | 14c | 90.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Billy Blaydes | 18c | 82.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Billy Blaydes | 21c | 76.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Billy Blaydes | 39c | 76.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Billy Blaydes | 38c | 59.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Billy Blaydes | 28c | 58.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 1,079 | 56.3%608 W · 471 L | +50.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Billy Blaydes | 32c | 56.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Billy Blaydes | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Matteo Martineau | 62c | 42.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 195 | 40.5%79 W · 116 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e104backed Billy Blaydes | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Billy Blaydes | 36c | 31.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…d380backed Billy Blaydes | 39c | 28.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Matteo Martineau | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 352 | 58.2%205 W · 147 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Matteo Martineau | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Matteo Martineau | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 204 | 57.4%117 W · 87 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Matteo Martineau | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Matteo Martineau | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 267 | 64.8%173 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Matteo Martineau | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Matteo Martineau | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 299 | 68.9%206 W · 93 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.