Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8bf326b53efd01137fc0122ef92f059371e04325823fb82d4eab1bd5cb328df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 61c | 2,430$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.7 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Under | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 57cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 40c | 835.25$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.1 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 624.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 39c | 586.5$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.74 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 39c | 266$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 39c | 266$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 39c | 266$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 39c | 241.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Over | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 40c | 233.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Over | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bb…047ebacked Over | 40c | 145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 39c | 130.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over | 40c | 127$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 39c | 87.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Over | 40c | 66.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 43c | 58.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Over | 40c | 42.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 40c | 34.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Over | 40c | 25.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Under | 61c | 22.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.