TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Newport: Garrett Johns vs Patrick Maloney

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Garrett Johnsof Garrett Johns, Patrick Maloney
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Patrick Maloney58c6,751$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.348,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Garrett Johns40c4,966$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.3992237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Patrick Maloney60c3,015$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.2353043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Patrick Maloney59c2,764$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.114,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Garrett Johns44c2,763$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.214246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Garrett Johns42c2,709$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.3371139.1%278 W · 433 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Patrick Maloney58c2,538$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46673951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Patrick Maloney65c1,916$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.724,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Garrett Johns39c1,753$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.311,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Patrick Maloney53c1,636$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.6740748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Garrett Johns8c1,250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15023723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Patrick Maloney58c1,154$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.362,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Garrett Johns40c1,149$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.072,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f99…861dbacked Patrick Maloney57c1,106$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.583943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Patrick Maloney57c1,102$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.793,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Garrett Johns40c1,034$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.385,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e9…939ebacked Garrett Johns40c991.43$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.28936%32 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Patrick Maloney61c964.3$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.9389263.8%569 W · 323 L+62.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b30…fb47backed Patrick Maloney62c889.35$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Patrick Maloney59c885.14$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.148,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Patrick Maloney49c849.86$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.4329932.8%98 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Garrett Johns36c809$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.093545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…24e8backed Patrick Maloney59c793.82$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.551145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Patrick Maloney60c782$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.5492046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Patrick Maloney61c766.53$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.594,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Garrett Johns44c735.99$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.311,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Garrett Johns33c720$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.426953.5%144 W · 125 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Garrett Johns50c687$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.530436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Patrick Maloney58c660.53$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.325,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Garrett Johns40c642.7$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.623253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Patrick Maloney54c595.01$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.794,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Garrett Johns36c568.83$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.3918537.3%69 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Patrick Maloney61c556.59$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.349,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Garrett Johns43c533.17$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.348,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Garrett Johns47c483.45$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.192,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Garrett Johns42c414.04$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.2113641.9%57 W · 79 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Patrick Maloney54c402.43$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.456,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Patrick Maloney50c388$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.391,80640.9%739 W · 1,067 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Garrett Johns42c371.02$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8218932.3%61 W · 128 L+0.7wins0.00per pick32cpaid+496.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Garrett Johns45c334.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.881,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Garrett Johns27c334.16$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6430443.4%132 W · 172 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Patrick Maloney60c332.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010847.2%51 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Patrick Maloney58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17463546.1%293 W · 342 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Patrick Maloney52c291.88$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.121,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…09cebacked Patrick Maloney50c291.54$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.774755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Garrett Johns36c279.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.399737.1%36 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Garrett Johns39c272.17$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.336,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Patrick Maloney15c261.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.521,37716.3%224 W · 1,153 L-109.7wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd759…6d1abacked Patrick Maloney62c242.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Garrett Johns43c230.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7723628.8%68 W · 168 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Garrett Johns45c230$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.552152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe66d…97acbacked Garrett Johns24c225.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.75228.8%15 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Garrett Johns55c218.55$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.551,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b8…339fbacked Garrett Johns46c211.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.241060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+42.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfbf…39e1backed Garrett Johns46c210.17$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.172544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Garrett Johns40c210$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12685637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Garrett Johns46c206.3$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.551,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb684…b250backed Garrett Johns41c204.82$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.826149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Garrett Johns40c202$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.22,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2acd…d0b6backed Garrett Johns50c198.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1514153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Patrick Maloney66c188.89$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.690454.4%492 W · 412 L+3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Garrett Johns40c183.23$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9490152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Patrick Maloney56c182.64$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.81,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Patrick Maloney60c167.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc7…268dbacked Patrick Maloney61c163.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1afd…427ebacked Patrick Maloney67c162.39$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.83461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Garrett Johns42c157.02$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6137255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Garrett Johns36c153.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.263342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Patrick Maloney61c147.76$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.962,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Patrick Maloney21c143.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Patrick Maloney60c141.07$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6399244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2819…c2fcbacked Garrett Johns35c137.4$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.410855.6%60 W · 48 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Patrick Maloney57c136$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5296444.2%426 W · 538 L-3.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Garrett Johns24c126.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6730246.7%141 W · 161 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eca…c19cbacked Garrett Johns39c123.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Patrick Maloney30c122.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.571,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Garrett Johns21c121.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8211832.2%38 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Garrett Johns41c119.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5147242.6%201 W · 271 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Patrick Maloney57c116.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.661266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Garrett Johns43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2894149.5%466 W · 475 L+17.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540e…263dbacked Garrett Johns29c113.79$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.139924.2%24 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Garrett Johns42c111.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.924,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Garrett Johns28c111.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.522,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Patrick Maloney60c109.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.661,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Patrick Maloney58c109.63$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.121,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Patrick Maloney60c106.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8516952.1%88 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x737f…66e8backed Garrett Johns24c104$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.042475%18 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Patrick Maloney62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.555753.7%299 W · 258 L+19.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b9f…018fbacked Garrett Johns19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Patrick Maloney61c98.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6039469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Garrett Johns43c96.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Patrick Maloney59c94.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8560452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507b…b776backed Patrick Maloney60c85.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Garrett Johns29c75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6232726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Patrick Maloney67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Garrett Johns45c74.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9244051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Garrett Johns44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1824349.4%120 W · 123 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Garrett Johns44c68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3823965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Garrett Johns31c61.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.361,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Patrick Maloney55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8554661%333 W · 213 L+34.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.