TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x737f…66e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2475%18 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Matias Reyniakbacked Matias Reyniak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
ITF W50 Prague Women: Anna Siskova vs Yelyzaveta Kotliarbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
ITF M25 Santander Men: Pedro Rodenas vs Alejandro Juan Manobacked Alejandro Juan Mano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Federica Saccobacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
ITF W50 Prague Women: Denisa Zoldakova vs Aran Teixido Garciabacked Denisa Zoldakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+30%+$7.51
Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Kingston: Miguel Tobon vs Lorenzo Claveriebacked Lorenzo Claverie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Sion: Nicolas Parizzia vs Theo Papamalamisbacked Theo Papamalamis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.67
ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Matthew Dellavedova vs Kosuke Ogurabacked Kosuke Ogura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Cincinnati Open: Maya Joint vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Cincinnati Open: Katie Boulter vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Merel Hoedt vs Anastasia Zolotarevabacked Merel Hoedt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$9.44
Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.43
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$16.87
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cinabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$25.64
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.29
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$42.31
Newport: Garrett Johns vs Patrick Maloneybacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$79.04
Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Newport: James McCabe vs Jason Jungbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$316.2
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.8
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+51%+$180.92
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.5
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$125.53
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$42.31
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$38.03
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.98
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$306.31
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.66
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 4 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Afghanistan Tour of Ireland ODIs: Ireland vs Afghanistanbacked Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$49.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.