Tennis · resolved market
ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Merel Hoedt vs Anastasia Zolotareva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bbcea36764b39074664742ac480037e9a745b0aa1cf81af45a0c53e08dce972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merel Hoedtof Merel Hoedt, Anastasia Zolotareva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Merel Hoedt | 37c | 6,832$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,271.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 22c | 2,144$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.3 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anastasia Zolotareva | 58c | 1,494$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.08 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Merel Hoedt | 18c | 1,100$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.25 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Merel Hoedt | 30c | 1,018$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.24 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Merel Hoedt | 49c | 768.44$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.2 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Merel Hoedt | 41c | 704.58$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.04 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 14c | 466.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Merel Hoedt | 44c | 440.38$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.83 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Merel Hoedt | 27c | 420.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.71 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Merel Hoedt | 32c | 418.81$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.66 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Merel Hoedt | 8c | 412.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.51 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 71c | 385.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.62 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 4c | 324.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Merel Hoedt | 25c | 203.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Merel Hoedt | 27c | 196.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Merel Hoedt | 37c | 169.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 74c | 134.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Merel Hoedt | 18c | 123.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Anastasia Zolotareva | 75c | 120.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Merel Hoedt | 46c | 100.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 72c | 99.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 78c | 95.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Merel Hoedt | 40c | 94.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Merel Hoedt | 44c | 89.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 75c | 82.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 28c | 71.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 35c | 66.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 74c | 65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c07…f713backed Merel Hoedt | 38c | 56.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 75c | 50.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anastasia Zolotareva | 47c | 43.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Anastasia Zolotareva | 78c | 37.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737f…66e8backed Merel Hoedt | 73c | 34.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Anastasia Zolotareva | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Merel Hoedt | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 60c | 31.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Anastasia Zolotareva | 69c | 28.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 76c | 25.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Anastasia Zolotareva | 79c | 23.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Merel Hoedt | 76c | 20.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 73c | 19.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…50c5backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 79c | 18.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Anastasia Zolotareva | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Merel Hoedt | 72c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.