Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Matias Reyniak
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2b521a18357d2d5c3a38390a4495b31ff7aeba85a20d583c5123c7f87faec87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matias Reyniakof Rafael Izquierdo Luque, Matias Reyniak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 53c | 768.7$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.41 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Matias Reyniak | 57c | 621.76$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.09 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 24c | 600$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Matias Reyniak | 75c | 482$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Matias Reyniak | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Matias Reyniak | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 45c | 237$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matias Reyniak | 50c | 181.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Matias Reyniak | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Matias Reyniak | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…7267backed Matias Reyniak | 29c | 162.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Matias Reyniak | 49c | 143.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Matias Reyniak | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 36c | 95.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Matias Reyniak | 79c | 94.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 48c | 87.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 44c | 79.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 37c | 67.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 30c | 64.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 30c | 64.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Matias Reyniak | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Matias Reyniak | 71c | 57.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 45c | 57.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 60c | 53.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 72c | 51.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 25c | 48.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…6de2backed Matias Reyniak | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 27c | 43.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Matias Reyniak | 56c | 40.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737f…66e8backed Matias Reyniak | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Matias Reyniak | 55c | 29.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Matias Reyniak | 53c | 26.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 43c | 23.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Matias Reyniak | 58c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Matias Reyniak | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.