TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sion: Nicolas Parizzia vs Theo Papamalamis

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Theo Papamalamisof Nicolas Parizzia, Theo Papamalamis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa107…e6a1backed Theo Papamalamis61c15,398$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,998.291764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Theo Papamalamis57c9,042$5,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,917.78,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Theo Papamalamis71c8,781$6,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.342332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Nicolas Parizzia45c6,247$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.9862140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Parizzia42c5,449$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.6811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nicolas Parizzia30c3,562$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.2610252%53 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolas Parizzia23c2,349$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.528,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Nicolas Parizzia45c2,336$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.14,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Theo Papamalamis68c1,993$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.713,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Theo Papamalamis64c1,861$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.8138557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Nicolas Parizzia38c1,356$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.453,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nicolas Parizzia27c1,111$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.72,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nicolas Parizzia40c1,094$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.184,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Theo Papamalamis54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46025144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nicolas Parizzia67c992.65$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.612,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Theo Papamalamis61c939.9$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.114,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Theo Papamalamis52c757.21$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.4624452.5%128 W · 116 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Nicolas Parizzia49c750$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.530147.5%143 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Nicolas Parizzia71c704$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.841,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c38…1bfabacked Theo Papamalamis72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.444843.8%21 W · 27 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Nicolas Parizzia72c680.71$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.1136548.2%176 W · 189 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Nicolas Parizzia45c626.04$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5335558.6%208 W · 147 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Nicolas Parizzia30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a2…a5ffbacked Theo Papamalamis65c451.8$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4215135.1%53 W · 98 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nicolas Parizzia38c450.71$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.386,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Theo Papamalamis57c426.93$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.379,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d98…d015backed Nicolas Parizzia34c405.27$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Nicolas Parizzia34c392.57$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.781,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Nicolas Parizzia37c362.73$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2136946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Nicolas Parizzia32c303.02$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6313337.6%50 W · 83 L-17.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb38d…6735backed Nicolas Parizzia32c303.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.978842%37 W · 51 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd812…203fbacked Nicolas Parizzia32c303.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9710537.1%39 W · 66 L-11.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfed8…5339backed Nicolas Parizzia32c303.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9711539.1%45 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f85…f9f5backed Nicolas Parizzia32c303.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9710739.3%42 W · 65 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66eb…a375backed Nicolas Parizzia33c303.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010038%38 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed Nicolas Parizzia33c303.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012441.1%51 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcd…e73fbacked Nicolas Parizzia32c303.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9210240.2%41 W · 61 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1429…b6babacked Nicolas Parizzia32c303.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.973743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x882e…e0a1backed Nicolas Parizzia33c303.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9911337.2%42 W · 71 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Nicolas Parizzia39c293.84$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.811,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf65e…e5e6backed Theo Papamalamis53c288.68$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.686160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Nicolas Parizzia35c266.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.085,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Nicolas Parizzia72c193.06$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e61…2f1bbacked Nicolas Parizzia72c166.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029148.5%141 W · 150 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nicolas Parizzia23c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.756,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b1…1f32backed Theo Papamalamis49c142.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.73977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21d9…4968backed Nicolas Parizzia45c142.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6412641.3%52 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Nicolas Parizzia71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030755%169 W · 138 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Nicolas Parizzia29c135.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Theo Papamalamis52c124.39$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.711,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nicolas Parizzia30c106.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.823,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Theo Papamalamis59c99.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.731,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Nicolas Parizzia33c98.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1444729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Theo Papamalamis52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Nicolas Parizzia40c95.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4448947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Nicolas Parizzia29c95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5511144.1%49 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Nicolas Parizzia31c90.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9629945.8%137 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Nicolas Parizzia28c75.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.251,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Nicolas Parizzia71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039451.8%204 W · 190 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Nicolas Parizzia71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5092355.8%515 W · 408 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3459…caa6backed Theo Papamalamis57c70.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5326748.7%130 W · 137 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Nicolas Parizzia65c60.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2131164.3%200 W · 111 L+36.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc0e7…a612backed Theo Papamalamis63c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Nicolas Parizzia25c53.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3848152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Theo Papamalamis68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.241,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Theo Papamalamis67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.569047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Theo Papamalamis55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Theo Papamalamis68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1694447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Nicolas Parizzia41c48.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010233.3%34 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Nicolas Parizzia71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092554.8%507 W · 418 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Nicolas Parizzia71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3049056.9%279 W · 211 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Nicolas Parizzia41c42.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Nicolas Parizzia25c41.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Theo Papamalamis70c40.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.171,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x737f…66e8backed Theo Papamalamis63c39.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.672475%18 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Nicolas Parizzia43c31.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.627749.1%136 W · 141 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Theo Papamalamis74c30.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0334864.1%223 W · 125 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Theo Papamalamis67c28.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5242563.3%269 W · 156 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e8…0a19backed Theo Papamalamis70c26.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.023767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d8…da3bbacked Theo Papamalamis54c25.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7527448.5%133 W · 141 L+24.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcac7…37d8backed Theo Papamalamis70c23.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.015174.5%38 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Theo Papamalamis65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.081,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Theo Papamalamis71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6737058.4%216 W · 154 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Theo Papamalamis69c22.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0530648.4%148 W · 158 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Theo Papamalamis49c21.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2532937.1%122 W · 207 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Theo Papamalamis66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.