Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Santander Men: Pedro Rodenas vs Alejandro Juan Mano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x877ebb8f554fd2b37e6ded1d7646653c6e86c95d2a07eac7b2730e1815866e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejandro Juan Manoof Pedro Rodenas, Alejandro Juan Mano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 44c | 3,417$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.83 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.29 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Pedro Rodenas | 64c | 1,679$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.55 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 40c | 914.41$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.66 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Pedro Rodenas | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pedro Rodenas | 62c | 874.58$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.53 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Pedro Rodenas | 58c | 820.54$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.7 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 41c | 374.35$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.85 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 43c | 352.23$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.19 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Pedro Rodenas | 63c | 339.38$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Pedro Rodenas | 73c | 300$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Pedro Rodenas | 68c | 261.54$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.17 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 47c | 259.55$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Pedro Rodenas | 58c | 246.55$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928c…0f9ebacked Pedro Rodenas | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 66c | 189.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 41c | 166.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pedro Rodenas | 65c | 147.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 42c | 134.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Pedro Rodenas | 38c | 132.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 35c | 130.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Pedro Rodenas | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pedro Rodenas | 45c | 104.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Pedro Rodenas | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 48c | 98.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Pedro Rodenas | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Pedro Rodenas | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 30c | 64.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Pedro Rodenas | 63c | 62.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pedro Rodenas | 78c | 61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 35c | 55.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 33c | 45.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 64c | 45.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 35c | 41.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Pedro Rodenas | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Pedro Rodenas | 51c | 38.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 40c | 37.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 35c | 33.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 36c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 353 | 57.2%202 W · 151 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x737f…66e8backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 35c | 31.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 38c | 28.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 40c | 27.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Pedro Rodenas | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…668fbacked Pedro Rodenas | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 36 | 86.1%31 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…8ba9backed Pedro Rodenas | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 67c | 18.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.