MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3105290b78b5432e4c39718ff1b9c3432bb0063253fff404b152bedd1e3157ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 5,335$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.99 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 55c | 4,848$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.04 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 57c | 2,639$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.09 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 2,071$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.72 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 1,940$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 54c | 1,690$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.4 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 40c | 1,599$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.24 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 56c | 1,557$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.08 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 1,332$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.62 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 1,190$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 1,152$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.69 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 1,091$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 889.01$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 877.83$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.02 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 54c | 729.12$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.4 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 40c | 441.72$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.76 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 57c | 299.18$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 24c | 269.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 55c | 267.55$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 27c | 190.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 182.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…bdd5backed Under | 56c | 181.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 44c | 169.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 45c | 161.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 44c | 154.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Under | 54c | 144.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 54c | 130.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 121.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 51c | 102.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Under | 56c | 88.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 87.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 80.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 70.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 45c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 44c | 67.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 45c | 64.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 56c | 61.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 54c | 61.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 45c | 60.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 57c | 55.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 56c | 51.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 33c | 46.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 53c | 45.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 44.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…d891backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Over | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1483…48fabacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Over | 53c | 25.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 55c | 23.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.