Tennis · resolved market
Brescia: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Mayar Sherif
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33af721b326a3534cbe648bb77c836068e91b7d2439c64eeff37e08c5efce324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mayar Sherifof Sarah Rakotomanga, Mayar Sherif
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Mayar Sherif | 78c | 13,091$10,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.94 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 25c | 8,739$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.42 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mayar Sherif | 73c | 3,906$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.01 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 27c | 3,494$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.32 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 2c | 3,478$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 18c | 2,740$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.73 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mayar Sherif | 79c | 1,273$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.9 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mayar Sherif | 69c | 1,137$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.12 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 32c | 900$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 17c | 802.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 8c | 435.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4824…0be2backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 14c | 422.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 14c | 251.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 10c | 249.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Mayar Sherif | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 18c | 141$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 19c | 122$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 28c | 119.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 28c | 106.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 32c | 86.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 22c | 85.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 32c | 44.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 27c | 42.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mayar Sherif | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 32c | 36.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Mayar Sherif | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Mayar Sherif | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…2773backed Mayar Sherif | 71c | 18.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.