Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Maya Joint vs Anastasia Potapova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x532b298556a773614d8f647e977a80d0d8e5a6e6ebad622935561a2d42a475b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasia Potapovaof Maya Joint, Anastasia Potapova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maya Joint | 1c | 18,799$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.16 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Maya Joint | 13c | 5,175$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.69 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maya Joint | 3c | 1,925$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Maya Joint | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Maya Joint | 12c | 999.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4824…0be2backed Maya Joint | 8c | 729.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Maya Joint | 2c | 710.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…43a7backed Maya Joint | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Maya Joint | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maya Joint | 12c | 357.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Maya Joint | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Maya Joint | 13c | 333$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Maya Joint | 13c | 306$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Maya Joint | 9c | 302.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Maya Joint | 8c | 268$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maya Joint | 13c | 252.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked Maya Joint | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Maya Joint | 13c | 138.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Maya Joint | 13c | 129.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Maya Joint | 14c | 123.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Maya Joint | 13c | 98.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Maya Joint | 12c | 96.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Maya Joint | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Maya Joint vs Anastasia Potapovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Joint vs PotapovaPotapova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.