TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Sam Houston Bearkats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sam Houston Bearkatsof Jacksonville State Gamecocks, Sam Houston Bearkats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Sam Houston Bearkats76c13,644$10,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225.251,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks28c12,662$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.815,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks24c6,069$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.9712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks18c4,724$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.75478.5%4 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sam Houston Bearkats72c4,651$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.763,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fc…821dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks0c2,754$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks23c2,333$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.592,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks29c2,191$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.21,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sam Houston Bearkats68c1,870$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.152,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks18c1,604$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.621,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks14c1,114$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.332,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Sam Houston Bearkats63c875.01$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.55349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats74c800.66$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.471,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks24c763.56$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.256636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks24c663.88$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.085,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks23c617$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.012,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa89…6cb6backed Sam Houston Bearkats60c600$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.531952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sam Houston Bearkats64c574.76$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.753,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks23c505$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.154,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks32c503.87$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Sam Houston Bearkats74c380$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.823754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks25c327.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.924737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks25c322.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.655532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sam Houston Bearkats74c320.01$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.111,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed Sam Houston Bearkats57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks26c299.76$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.732,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats71c288.37$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks40c287.17$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.625925.4%15 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats75c274.88$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7281453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sam Houston Bearkats58c228.14$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.374,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks23c217$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9150548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats75c206.98$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7425438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats74c201.61$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.831,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sam Houston Bearkats75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks25c194.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.211,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Sam Houston Bearkats67c144.64$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.172,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks24c137$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8817627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Sam Houston Bearkats72c129.21$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0534943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks18c103.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.121,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Sam Houston Bearkats70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sam Houston Bearkats80c73.08$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks27c68.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks32c68.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks24c66.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.891,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks24c65.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.721,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9260954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Sam Houston Bearkats66c60.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.517746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Sam Houston Bearkats73c47.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9562140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Sam Houston Bearkats75c33.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5618147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Sam Houston Bearkats78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.473464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Sam Houston Bearkats72c16.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7514171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Sam Houston Bearkats74c16.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.357656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats75c14.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6739050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd00…3f73backed Sam Houston Bearkats72c14.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.