Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e9d098f7e84e0e4613571ee871f4a24df9335b50aec8bcaa373af7ac36933db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregon Ducksof Oregon Ducks, USC Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked USC Trojans | 5c | 19,904$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked USC Trojans | 69c | 6,310$4,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.7 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Oregon Ducks | 30c | 5,039$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.17 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed USC Trojans | 70c | 4,972$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.4 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon Ducks | 29c | 4,567$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oregon Ducks | 31c | 4,331$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.36 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon Ducks | 28c | 4,154$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed USC Trojans | 70c | 2,875$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed USC Trojans | 68c | 2,641$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.95 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Oregon Ducks | 31c | 2,291$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.79 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Oregon Ducks | 13c | 2,174$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.98 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oregon Ducks | 35c | 2,082$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.75 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon Ducks | 30c | 1,455$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Oregon Ducks | 32c | 1,386$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.41 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Oregon Ducks | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oregon Ducks | 30c | 1,137$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.73 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oregon Ducks | 7c | 1,025$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.94 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Oregon Ducks | 48c | 1,000$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…4a65backed USC Trojans | 57c | 990.91$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.33 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked USC Trojans | 68c | 958$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.91 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed USC Trojans | 71c | 846.6$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Oregon Ducks | 29c | 803.82$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.27 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed USC Trojans | 70c | 802.97$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.08 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Oregon Ducks | 28c | 794$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.5 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked USC Trojans | 55c | 787.69$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.25 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed USC Trojans | 49c | 767.4$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked USC Trojans | 80c | 734.18$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.1 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed USC Trojans | 60c | 686.23$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.63 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed USC Trojans | 66c | 628.67$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.66 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…b99abacked USC Trojans | 76c | 581.19$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 73cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed USC Trojans | 67c | 462.6$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.72 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed USC Trojans | 5c | 460$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed USC Trojans | 55c | 451.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked USC Trojans | 61c | 408.06$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.69 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oregon Ducks | 72c | 389.44$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Oregon Ducks | 30c | 368.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.67 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Oregon Ducks | 27c | 345.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked USC Trojans | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Oregon Ducks | 31c | 333$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.1 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oregon Ducks | 36c | 326.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed USC Trojans | 55c | 317.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Oregon Ducks | 37c | 302.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.51 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Oregon Ducks | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed USC Trojans | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Oregon Ducks | 21c | 215.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed USC Trojans | 49c | 205.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed USC Trojans | 80c | 203.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.58 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Oregon Ducks | 29c | 201.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.57 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Oregon Ducks | 18c | 201.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.09 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Oregon Ducks | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Oregon Ducks | 29c | 192.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Oregon Ducks | 31c | 175.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…eec3backed Oregon Ducks | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Oregon Ducks | 10c | 149.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oregon Ducks | 32c | 147.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked USC Trojans | 70c | 139$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…7b2fbacked Oregon Ducks | 25c | 128$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed USC Trojans | 54c | 127.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed USC Trojans | 63c | 108.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…bf81backed Oregon Ducks | 38c | 92.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed USC Trojans | 60c | 85.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked USC Trojans | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked USC Trojans | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed USC Trojans | 53c | 71.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Oregon Ducks | 34c | 67.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked USC Trojans | 78c | 65.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Oregon Ducks | 46c | 64.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed USC Trojans | 70c | 61.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed USC Trojans | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked USC Trojans | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…ad0cbacked Oregon Ducks | 34c | 56.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Oregon Ducks | 58c | 56.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…78bcbacked Oregon Ducks | 36c | 55.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Oregon Ducks | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed USC Trojans | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…615cbacked Oregon Ducks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed USC Trojans | 71c | 40.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…071abacked USC Trojans | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked USC Trojans | 68c | 39.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e1…f709backed USC Trojans | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked Oregon Ducks | 35c | 33.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Oregon Ducks | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed USC Trojans | 71c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed USC Trojans | 75c | 22.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed USC Trojans | 70c | 21.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed USC Trojans | 67c | 17.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked USC Trojans | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed USC Trojans | 72c | 14.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojansthis page
- Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojans: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: USC Trojans (-5.5)Oregon Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.