Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Charleston Cougars vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25e3e401a481f36220f1e6cc4d3727012b9fc984126a700d55292d86e82ff4c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 48c | 8,326$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.39 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 52c | 3,737$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.27 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 53c | 2,799$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.73 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 47c | 2,371$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.59 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 52c | 2,354$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,541$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.22 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 52c | 1,243$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.14 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 51c | 799.98$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 53c | 603.56$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 590.56$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.17 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Over | 50c | 495.63$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Under | 52c | 476.57$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 381.64$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 52c | 362.56$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.81 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 213.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 50c | 198.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 45c | 154.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 50c | 133.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 110.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 98.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 52c | 90.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 52c | 66.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 49c | 65.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 58.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Over | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 45.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charleston Cougars vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 140.5this page
- Charleston Cougars vs. Hampton PiratesCharleston Cougars won
- Charleston Cougars vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Charleston Cougars (-4.5)Charleston Cougars won
- Spread: Charleston Cougars (-5.5)Charleston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.