Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x629ef3bedd469c63144fd50d89bc12ed6e77fbdb46b86140a3acaf5af766b00a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charleston Cougarsof Charleston Cougars, Hampton Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hampton Pirates | 46c | 2,465$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.23 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Charleston Cougars | 53c | 1,161$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.85 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Charleston Cougars | 55c | 1,121$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.23 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hampton Pirates | 41c | 1,029$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Charleston Cougars | 58c | 934.5$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.18 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Charleston Cougars | 59c | 420.27$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hampton Pirates | 41c | 249.79$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Charleston Cougars | 54c | 159.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hampton Pirates | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Hampton Pirates | 46c | 79.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Charleston Cougars | 53c | 61.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Charleston Cougars | 52c | 44.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Charleston Cougars | 52c | 43.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Charleston Cougars | 54c | 34.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Hampton Pirates | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Charleston Cougars | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Charleston Cougars (-4.5)this page
- Charleston Cougars vs. Hampton PiratesCharleston Cougars won
- Charleston Cougars vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 140.5Over won
- Charleston Cougars vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Charleston Cougars (-5.5)Charleston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.