MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cd8e3291007f0aca53474ea1dbc6d9b1e03b581ff9653d95307b82bffa3913c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Los Angeles Angels, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,065 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 1,661$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.02 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,512$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.85 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 606.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.23 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 576.55$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 547.43$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 432$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.01 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 353.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 315.85$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…3b3bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 15c | 289$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 272.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 257.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 232.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 212.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 179.6$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 116$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 115.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…8b48backed Los Angeles Angels | 15c | 108.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 61.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 36.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 36.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 22.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.