Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Utah Utes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe07e809f495d922c1e8e063a3eb3d286ad72245ed91af114f106c25e14da7ed2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal Poly Mustangsof Cal Poly Mustangs, Utah Utes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 61c | 6,573$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah Utes | 40c | 2,755$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.33 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah Utes | 45c | 2,219$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.22 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah Utes | 43c | 1,678$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.85 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 61c | 1,248$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.56 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 12c | 799.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.46 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Utah Utes | 34c | 799.48$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 9c | 763.46$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 53c | 744.59$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Utah Utes | 43c | 695.49$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.78 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 692.67$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 9c | 553.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.33 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 9c | 401.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.65 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…3455backed Utah Utes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah Utes | 37c | 385.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Utah Utes | 47c | 332$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.65 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Utah Utes | 33c | 295.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Utah Utes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…af20backed Utah Utes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Utah Utes | 61c | 224.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Utah Utes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 12c | 167$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 61c | 144.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Utah Utes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a471backed Utah Utes | 61c | 67.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 53c | 24.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Utah Utes | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.