TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: VARREL vs Team Secret (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
VARRELof VARREL, Team Secret
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c3f…75cfbacked VARREL50c32,222$16,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,137.6513651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Team Secret50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00054751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…414bbacked Team Secret0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Team Secret50c5,610$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.933435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked VARREL49c5,603$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.5128955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Team Secret50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Secret51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Secret51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed VARREL50c1,523$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.4211255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…f61ebacked Team Secret50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Secret50c1,216$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.8651749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Team Secret51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Secret50c1,036$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.6725660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb70f…eae5backed Team Secret1c1,035$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.551136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed VARREL50c1,025$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.533348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Team Secret51c1,000$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.0310951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked VARREL50c1,000$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5051040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed VARREL44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56015553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked VARREL50c922.05$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.0378162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed VARREL49c808.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.5123151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Team Secret51c660.58$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.628934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Team Secret53c620.39$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.7925444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Team Secret50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Team Secret37c565.52$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.642540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Secret40c508.79$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.351,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Team Secret50c500.52$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2619040%76 W · 114 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked VARREL49c499.97$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Secret53c467.6$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.6196245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked VARREL73c443.79$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Team Secret51c397.14$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed VARREL46c397.06$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.495349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Team Secret51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Secret45c370.7$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2914533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Team Secret9c333$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.975831%18 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Team Secret50c329.29$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8319337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Team Secret11c316.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5622539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team Secret50c305.96$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.989644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed VARREL51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1479837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Team Secret51c293$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.433542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Secret50c292.74$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3754342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Team Secret50c283$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.512147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Secret56c269.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.991,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed VARREL50c262.17$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.09944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7e…4768backed VARREL44c249.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Secret55c243$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.341,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Secret51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Secret45c220.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0653355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Team Secret56c215.49$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6712750.4%64 W · 63 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38b7…cfa7backed Team Secret79c205.96$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.556250%31 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Secret50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006446.9%30 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed VARREL40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12022449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6f0…7b5bbacked Team Secret50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team Secret56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11236648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Team Secret49c164.33$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5233942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Secret40c152$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5666438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Secret41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.51,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked VARREL50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7516241.4%67 W · 95 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked VARREL49c140.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2933753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Team Secret72c138.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4315160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2171…01acbacked Team Secret50c134$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06b…c1e1backed VARREL50c128.9$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Secret45c123.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9656357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Secret14c109$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3199846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Team Secret26c101.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Team Secret50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Team Secret50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed Team Secret51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed VARREL50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.527145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Team Secret51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Team Secret52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Team Secret51c82.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2534253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Team Secret50c82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6814729.9%44 W · 103 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe18c…3878backed Team Secret50c80.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Team Secret51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.814252.1%74 W · 68 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Secret46c74.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe564…1e80backed VARREL50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked VARREL50c68.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.215842.4%67 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab30…11c2backed Team Secret74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed VARREL50c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.56533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08f6…cd51backed Team Secret51c64.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Team Secret57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.28942.7%38 W · 51 L-13.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xce18…aff0backed Team Secret50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41a7…057ebacked VARREL54c55.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0b9…9d98backed Team Secret51c54.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x351a…d704backed VARREL57c54.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed VARREL49c51.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3918948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c3…fcaebacked Team Secret50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253619.4%7 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-52.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Team Secret55c41.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.642051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc8…b124backed VARREL44c40.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5215…b02fbacked Team Secret50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Team Secret51c39.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3918651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Team Secret51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205569.1%38 W · 17 L+12.2wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+69.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Team Secret51c34.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.396251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042e…9e8cbacked VARREL50c33.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.733063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e62…8124backed Team Secret50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Team Secret51c30.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.417555.4%97 W · 78 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe245…3bc8backed Team Secret50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Team Secret47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e24…b6d5backed Team Secret51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153946.2%18 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Team Secret64c28.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186250%31 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.