CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5330dbd4a4a29bd261e6bc0aa7c28804a297e6e1f03af608e2940fbeae615127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washingtonof Washington, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked CSDIILIT | 38c | 3,574$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.6 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington | 59c | 2,124$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.12 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed CSDIILIT | 55c | 2,002$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…5a09backed CSDIILIT | 3c | 1,235$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed CSDIILIT | 41c | 867.09$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.24 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…a627backed Washington | 44c | 847.68$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.29 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Washington | 65c | 822.99$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.92 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked Washington | 61c | 634.84$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked CSDIILIT | 53c | 447$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Washington | 47c | 382.05$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…9cbcbacked CSDIILIT | 28c | 380.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Washington | 68c | 344.48$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed CSDIILIT | 13c | 337.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed CSDIILIT | 15c | 334.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Washington | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Washington | 76c | 299.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed CSDIILIT | 63c | 274.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CSDIILIT | 63c | 214.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Washington | 47c | 207.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.78 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed CSDIILIT | 6c | 204.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked CSDIILIT | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Washington | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked CSDIILIT | 21c | 191.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Washington | 66c | 170.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…99d2backed CSDIILIT | 31c | 165$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…b5e4backed CSDIILIT | 18c | 140.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Washington | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…6718backed CSDIILIT | 69c | 119.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Washington | 62c | 113.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked CSDIILIT | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked CSDIILIT | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked CSDIILIT | 38c | 101.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Washington | 46c | 100.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked CSDIILIT | 26c | 99.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed CSDIILIT | 41c | 97.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Washington | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked CSDIILIT | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed CSDIILIT | 24c | 64.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…14bfbacked Washington | 61c | 63.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed CSDIILIT | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x916e…6183backed CSDIILIT | 51c | 56.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed CSDIILIT | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CSDIILIT | 32c | 54.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…9480backed Washington | 48c | 53.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed CSDIILIT | 44c | 49.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed CSDIILIT | 54c | 46.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Washington | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…dbbbbacked Washington | 49c | 37.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…bf38backed CSDIILIT | 30c | 37.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked CSDIILIT | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Washington | 78c | 35.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed Washington | 65c | 34.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…a0d7backed CSDIILIT | 44c | 30.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…158dbacked CSDIILIT | 43c | 30.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Washington | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…ef89backed CSDIILIT | 68c | 26.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Washington | 75c | 25.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Washington | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dba…4fe1backed Washington | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…50efbacked CSDIILIT | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9523…56e0backed Washington | 53c | 19.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3) CSDIILIT won
- Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winner CSDIILIT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.