CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47382c2e956cf14097ba73630ab9d6a19e92d7268e99544c5fdde006704b6522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof Washington, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CSDIILIT | 42c | 2,416$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.52 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa316…4d3cbacked Washington | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Washington | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Washington | 68c | 916$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.07 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Washington | 53c | 783.34$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.13 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked CSDIILIT | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Washington | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed CSDIILIT | 66c | 298.78$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Washington | 68c | 250.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.41 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Washington | 9c | 195$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Washington | 8c | 184$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked CSDIILIT | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed CSDIILIT | 43c | 135$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked CSDIILIT | 75c | 123.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed CSDIILIT | 52c | 114.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CSDIILIT | 63c | 113.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Washington | 20c | 104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed CSDIILIT | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…3fe4backed Washington | 68c | 52.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…a627backed CSDIILIT | 32c | 52.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked CSDIILIT | 38c | 47.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Washington | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf426…5181backed CSDIILIT | 50c | 42.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Washington | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Washington | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Washington | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed CSDIILIT | 34c | 39.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…c9bcbacked Washington | 38c | 36.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked CSDIILIT | 31c | 35.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed CSDIILIT | 59c | 34.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Washington | 65c | 34.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed CSDIILIT | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…1720backed Washington | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed CSDIILIT | 47c | 27.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked CSDIILIT | 65c | 17.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…9480backed Washington | 71c | 14.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3) CSDIILIT won
- Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 WinnerWashington won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.