Token Launches · resolved market
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ade8b93914ae38b2fc95cba3e6796667b838add5f06ee2dc97b812fbd464c32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,251,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,339,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,251,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 8c | 74,789$5,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,994.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 17c | 38,573$6,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,615.01 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 71c | 30,621$21,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,863.4 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 15c | 20,020$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed No | 1c | 16,937$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdd…6a3abacked No | 25c | 13,859$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…0066backed No | 26c | 12,083$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa061…cd76backed No | 11c | 11,705$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…d443backed No | 10c | 11,557$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…34d8backed No | 47c | 10,715$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabda…a053backed No | 49c | 10,554$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002b…1927backed No | 50c | 10,366$5,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…6471backed Yes | 49c | 10,288$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +229.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…7d58backed No | 50c | 10,265$5,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,132.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…e185backed Yes | 50c | 10,265$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…0cd4backed Yes | 50c | 10,222$5,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef5…c761backed Yes | 51c | 10,059$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…b04bbacked Yes | 51c | 9,948$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…f435backed No | 49c | 9,948$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2746…3cffbacked No | 51c | 9,880$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f36…6c86backed No | 50c | 9,793$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,906.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…1c41backed Yes | 50c | 9,793$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,906.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…c541backed Yes | 53c | 9,519$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…6abbbacked Yes | 53c | 9,472$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…5c79backed No | 47c | 8,054$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 6c | 7,368$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.91 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…58ecbacked No | 9c | 6,973$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…62d5backed No | 20c | 6,783$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed No | 8c | 6,678$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.85 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…ba5abacked Yes | 80c | 6,483$5,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…6bd7backed Yes | 80c | 6,297$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd07d…8e3dbacked No | 21c | 6,297$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9761…3f02backed No | 20c | 6,294$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…e5adbacked Yes | 80c | 6,294$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abd…6627backed No | 21c | 6,284$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…84c7backed Yes | 80c | 6,284$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2e…e6e7backed No | 20c | 5,927$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…ffeebacked Yes | 80c | 5,927$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 20c | 5,898$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.35 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Yes | 6c | 5,858$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +151.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…33c1backed Yes | 79c | 5,671$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 16c | 5,090$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.37 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed Yes | 56c | 5,038$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…70eabacked No | 2c | 5,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 78c | 4,954$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.85 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…8686backed Yes | 60c | 4,866$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed No | 10c | 4,828$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…61f0backed No | 11c | 4,580$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…09e9backed No | 12c | 4,570$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa863…70b0backed No | 22c | 4,535$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…b06dbacked No | 10c | 4,443$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…f600backed No | 6c | 4,420$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…4f27backed Yes | 23c | 3,987$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.42 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…3c26backed Yes | 78c | 3,863$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e2…cd7cbacked Yes | 29c | 3,455$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…bee4backed Yes | 5c | 3,437$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +974.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…629ebacked No | 3c | 3,212$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…a3ddbacked No | 7c | 2,937$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9046…5e89backed No | 31c | 2,638$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,584$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.68 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed No | 10c | 2,529$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 9c | 2,500$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8acabacked Yes | 63c | 2,371$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd613…e999backed No | 9c | 2,336$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…4834backed No | 35c | 2,312$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9296…e89cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,286$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +575.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed No | 8c | 2,222$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a58…8ac6backed No | 10c | 2,026$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…de70backed No | 9c | 2,018$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 10c | 2,000$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 8c | 1,894$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…e621backed No | 10c | 1,885$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf207…9c86backed No | 11c | 1,661$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…f885backed Yes | 62c | 1,602$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x118a…83efbacked No | 15c | 1,595$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…aa50backed No | 31c | 1,448$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…bcebbacked Yes | 50c | 1,356$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1df…2378backed Yes | 78c | 1,207$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…d501backed No | 19c | 1,199$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.33 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2898…d183backed No | 10c | 1,136$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed No | 38c | 1,122$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 9c | 1,116$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +266%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…91b8backed Yes | 79c | 1,095$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed Yes | 70c | 1,076$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.87 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…6d98backed No | 14c | 1,076$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…8a3bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,058$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…621ebacked No | 33c | 1,058$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 10c | 1,024$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…1edebacked Yes | 8c | 1,005$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5771backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…2a8dbacked No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…6659backed No | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…7f84backed No | 9c | 999.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…5a5abacked No | 30c | 900.73$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…acb5backed No | 11c | 884.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…2d20backed No | 11c | 884.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +181.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…3443backed Yes | 14c | 843.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Yes | 61c | 835.02$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +199.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…c4eabacked Yes | 62c | 800$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?this page
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $15-20b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $20-25b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $30-35b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?No won
- No Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.