Token Launches · resolved market
No Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9773233f3dd345b0cf99b4338e9663dee025c76bcdae2d8f11efb4327a3566d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $504,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdba6…0218backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…1edebacked Yes | 1c | 63,141$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 3c | 35,082$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.81 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,241$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…665bbacked Yes | 4c | 17,656$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…28ffbacked Yes | 4c | 15,376$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 4c | 14,011$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 4c | 11,353$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Yes | 0c | 6,096$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…8a63backed Yes | 3c | 6,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 4c | 5,238$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.93 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…50cdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,186$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…955fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,802$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Yes | 1c | 2,797$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f9b5backed Yes | 5c | 2,794$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 2,670$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…8686backed Yes | 5c | 2,023$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…64f9backed Yes | 4c | 1,876$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…b9dfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,870$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…e621backed Yes | 4c | 1,209$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…3155backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 4c | 749.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…94a1backed Yes | 7c | 746.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…7b82backed Yes | 4c | 720.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 5c | 616$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 6c | 571.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…a2d2backed Yes | 7c | 447.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f22…28c8backed Yes | 3c | 440$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2898…d183backed Yes | 4c | 415.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 3c | 324.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…bf92backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…77f7backed Yes | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?this page
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?Yes won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $15-20b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $20-25b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $30-35b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.