Token Launches · resolved market
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb604e6da01db4d8b989aba1060998f03e0dfc828940d9c03c944e0221fa20b2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $579,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdba6…0218backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 9c | 40,395$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.39 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…504abacked Yes | 3c | 35,702$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.36 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed Yes | 22c | 12,613$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…6bebbacked Yes | 22c | 10,454$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…7c6fbacked Yes | 11c | 10,006$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdd…6a3abacked Yes | 21c | 7,024$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…8a63backed Yes | 4c | 7,000$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…96f7backed Yes | 5c | 6,095$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…58ecbacked Yes | 7c | 6,000$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 7c | 5,991$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.94 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…20dcbacked Yes | 28c | 5,358$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…2a8dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,079$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…09fcbacked Yes | 7c | 4,219$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…a4f3backed Yes | 16c | 3,904$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…b1f4backed Yes | 4c | 3,654$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 3,598$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 6c | 3,362$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,099$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.65 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…fd65backed Yes | 5c | 2,942$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b3…7469backed Yes | 12c | 2,701$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,392$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…a4eebacked Yes | 4c | 2,330$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…ab27backed Yes | 23c | 2,217$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…4f27backed Yes | 19c | 2,052$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.59 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…e3a9backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…af3bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…8e55backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…e90dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,978$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +465.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…b0c0backed Yes | 8c | 1,975$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…8a3bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,875$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…1c37backed Yes | 10c | 1,850$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…ef15backed Yes | 14c | 1,808$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,758$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…3533backed Yes | 4c | 1,757$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…b22ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,734$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…77f7backed Yes | 4c | 1,650$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…656ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,577$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +350.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…5a5abacked Yes | 3c | 1,536$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8acabacked Yes | 21c | 1,434$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…75dabacked Yes | 7c | 1,391$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…d330backed Yes | 7c | 1,271$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…16a5backed Yes | 12c | 1,210$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…35d2backed Yes | 12c | 1,109$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…bcebbacked Yes | 28c | 1,107$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b11…8535backed Yes | 3c | 1,083$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…ca9fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…9a29backed Yes | 5c | 1,024$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf790…fd1bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,017$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17c9…3a08backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 78c | 1,000$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…c80abacked Yes | 9c | 974.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9046…5e89backed Yes | 20c | 920.56$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…46d9backed Yes | 5c | 915.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Yes | 11c | 883.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…54c2backed Yes | 11c | 883.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 4c | 866.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 6c | 815.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…94a1backed Yes | 15c | 810.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…9c3dbacked Yes | 13c | 806.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…4755backed Yes | 6c | 806.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef0…6ca1backed Yes | 8c | 800$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 6c | 799.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 13c | 792$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6357…3404backed Yes | 6c | 762.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 16c | 761.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…c3bbbacked Yes | 5c | 750$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 28c | 716.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2380…7da9backed Yes | 8c | 715.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…629ebacked Yes | 4c | 702.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 28c | 699.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…c745backed Yes | 33c | 692.68$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 11c | 667.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc215…65c0backed Yes | 20c | 653.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…54b7backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…427abacked Yes | 4c | 590$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…cf33backed Yes | 5c | 563.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes | 9c | 547.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…3f04backed Yes | 14c | 546.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6da…2ad1backed Yes | 6c | 535.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x247b…6610backed Yes | 13c | 526.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f9…bb92backed Yes | 8c | 499.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…4ccabacked Yes | 11c | 476.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ee…0991backed Yes | 12c | 474.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8d…dfccbacked Yes | 11c | 456.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…1935backed Yes | 17c | 442.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…c72abacked Yes | 31c | 434.58$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cc…29b3backed Yes | 18c | 428.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f25…cf87backed Yes | 12c | 414.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…173abacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd1…23debacked Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 8c | 373.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…c07abacked Yes | 22c | 370$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…c8afbacked Yes | 11c | 355.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a6a5backed Yes | 7c | 351.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…2019backed Yes | 26c | 345.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…daeebacked Yes | 11c | 337.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?this page
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?Yes won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $15-20b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $20-25b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $30-35b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?No won
- Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?No won
- No Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.