Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bf75f03cd7836cafd8192c2f887680b408d47e9afbf9791f0ceeed1160a9fed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $375,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb28…a899backed No | 4c | 3,335$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…802fbacked No | 4c | 3,002$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…6504backed No | 4c | 2,926$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…5116backed No | 3c | 2,894$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…7a5fbacked No | 3c | 2,854$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…2217backed No | 5c | 2,633$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…aa7cbacked No | 3c | 2,440$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…7558backed No | 4c | 2,432$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666c…69a6backed No | 4c | 2,339$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…087bbacked No | 4c | 2,308$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d19cbacked No | 5c | 2,297$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa45…1a88backed No | 5c | 2,218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121a…274bbacked No | 4c | 2,145$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…625bbacked No | 4c | 2,024$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…20c1backed No | 3c | 2,016$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…8a91backed No | 3c | 1,962$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…0b70backed No | 4c | 1,914$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…b556backed No | 4c | 1,859$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…23e6backed No | 3c | 1,843$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…ab84backed No | 3c | 1,784$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…12e0backed No | 4c | 1,782$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…728ebacked No | 3c | 1,779$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ca…c87ebacked No | 4c | 1,773$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…0631backed No | 4c | 1,710$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…f46bbacked No | 4c | 1,672$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d4…0f99backed No | 3c | 1,578$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196d…1e02backed No | 3c | 1,577$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…a94abacked No | 3c | 1,560$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca54…8f1fbacked No | 5c | 1,532$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…3c6dbacked No | 3c | 1,522$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa939…2ba7backed No | 3c | 1,512$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…6452backed No | 3c | 1,495$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…6fb5backed No | 5c | 1,475$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…5b75backed No | 4c | 1,400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…45b7backed No | 4c | 1,389$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…c022backed No | 3c | 1,368$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…b54fbacked No | 3c | 1,345$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…93a4backed No | 3c | 1,340$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…936dbacked No | 3c | 1,270$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…09ebbacked No | 5c | 1,253$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…c0fbbacked No | 3c | 1,251$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…2d98backed No | 3c | 1,215$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02c…e90dbacked No | 4c | 1,214$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…7ac0backed No | 4c | 1,214$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e6…aad7backed No | 3c | 1,213$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…438fbacked No | 3c | 1,204$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…49e8backed No | 4c | 1,185$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e3…6d9dbacked No | 3c | 1,177$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…d64dbacked No | 4c | 1,171$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…e3cbbacked No | 5c | 1,163$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…77f8backed No | 5c | 1,116$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…1ae6backed No | 3c | 1,102$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…6961backed No | 4c | 1,089$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…dc5ebacked No | 3c | 1,072$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b6…970abacked No | 3c | 1,063$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd0…7858backed No | 5c | 1,060$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…157fbacked No | 3c | 1,057$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b3…fb78backed No | 3c | 1,055$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…db46backed No | 3c | 1,055$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…e47ebacked No | 3c | 1,053$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaf…d5d0backed No | 3c | 1,017$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0d…f91dbacked No | 4c | 1,016$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…feb6backed No | 3c | 1,008$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…c544backed No | 5c | 985$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0087…fdfdbacked No | 4c | 971$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…5d56backed No | 4c | 971$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…f064backed No | 4c | 964$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…b171backed No | 3c | 960$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…0450backed No | 3c | 947$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…8168backed No | 3c | 929$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7aa…afe8backed No | 4c | 923$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…6f5dbacked No | 4c | 887$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…4292backed No | 4c | 878$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…3979backed No | 3c | 864$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…074fbacked No | 3c | 841$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4b…138bbacked No | 5c | 831$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cf…829abacked No | 5c | 829$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…ed65backed No | 3c | 827$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…0772backed No | 3c | 789$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…2f3dbacked No | 3c | 764$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…dde2backed No | 3c | 759$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…8d47backed No | 5c | 744$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…bdb9backed No | 3c | 733$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…f59dbacked No | 3c | 730$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…4277backed No | 5c | 729$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…3effbacked No | 5c | 721$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed2…0d2cbacked No | 3c | 713$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…4a53backed No | 3c | 711$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44a…d611backed No | 3c | 703$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…0684backed No | 3c | 677$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…d7f5backed No | 3c | 659$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…7aa7backed No | 4c | 650$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c80…6401backed No | 3c | 647$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…225ebacked No | 3c | 642$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ce9cbacked No | 3c | 641$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…0474backed No | 4c | 636$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…93eabacked No | 3c | 633$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…3c65backed No | 4c | 632$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9002…9ca7backed No | 3c | 625$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Julie Stauch win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.