TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes64c8,547$5,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4381250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c7,644$3,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,516.167,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c5,807$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.085,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cb…d211backed Yes79c2,500$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No35c2,310$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.441,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No34c2,167$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.882,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010259.8%61 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes67c1,482$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016826.2%44 W · 124 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes65c1,383$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.399061.1%55 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes41c1,217$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.992043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c1,113$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.812,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes13c999.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510031%31 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No14c975$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.55932.2%19 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes55c968.49$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.672560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No79c942.34$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2798552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No53c877.71$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.561,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes65c862.28$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.681526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-50.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes57c824.56$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No43c745.66$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.5144768%304 W · 143 L+52.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No57c702.67$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.0486960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Yes34c659.74$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No35c644.84$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.593534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0319…2f43backed Yes69c620.84$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No23c510.63$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.8994043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No38c500$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.7630646.7%143 W · 163 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa195…8c92backed Yes57c393.09$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes15c371$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.228432.1%27 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No24c340.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.031,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Yes38c337.18$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.13850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes50c324.97$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9320742.5%88 W · 119 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No35c297.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.982,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No59c290$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.98067.5%54 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes51c284.31$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14511237.5%42 W · 70 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No38c263.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7929052.4%152 W · 138 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x468f…b04abacked Yes65c254.39$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.81520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No35c248$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.212746.5%59 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50d8…8bd6backed Yes30c209.65$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Yes65c207.69$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355362.3%33 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No36c195.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4312437.9%47 W · 77 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1732…1c15backed Yes41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e2…264cbacked Yes37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa11…7e23backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No37c145.26$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.961,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes55c140$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No35c125.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.835547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes72c119.72$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9167348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes65c113.28$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.63757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked No21c102.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.551838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6421473.4%157 W · 57 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes47c95.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+70.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Yes65c90$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.53076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No36c89.83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4925653.1%136 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Yes64c89.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes41c87.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5f…0614backed Yes53c85.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes65c85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2525859.7%154 W · 104 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No38c83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3963849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes57c80.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4614332.2%46 W · 97 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked No35c76.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+84.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No44c73.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.156743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No36c70.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1427352.7%144 W · 129 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No62c66.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3923348.1%112 W · 121 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No36c65.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2313628.7%39 W · 97 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes33c65.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.527237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No24c65.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.199351.6%48 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes54c63.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.713336.1%48 W · 85 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed No50c57.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+77.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No39c56.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3624454.9%134 W · 110 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes64c54.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532051.9%166 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes41c52.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.813542.2%57 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes64c51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6437341.6%155 W · 218 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3253655.2%296 W · 240 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3123256.9%132 W · 100 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4431…d506backed Yes68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5814…229abacked No40c47.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.312740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No62c45.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.389869.4%68 W · 30 L+16.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+39.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.322075%15 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No62c42.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.199644.8%43 W · 53 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes63c42.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5223347.2%110 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155123.5%12 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No46c40.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0910430.8%32 W · 72 L-12.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14130%0 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed7b…7b92backed Yes64c39.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.35520%1 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick72cpaid-73%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No61c39.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1389258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5e…75a4backed No73c38.19$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked No52c37.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.932065%13 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Yes35c37.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9516750.9%85 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Yes60c34.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.974261.9%26 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No78c33.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5738147.5%181 W · 200 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No31c32.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4698653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.