Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Rublev (-2.5) vs Borges (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fd9e3791a4bc1e286fd53116cae1370d3de061970bd2ade6d966c739abcf9f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rublevof Rublev, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Rublev | 18c | 1,315$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Borges | 69c | 1,019$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.27 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Rublev | 36c | 890.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.66 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Borges | 66c | 767.02$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.24 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Rublev | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Rublev | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed Borges | 70c | 201.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Rublev | 30c | 185.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Rublev | 30c | 109.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Rublev | 30c | 61.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Borges | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…8821backed Borges | 71c | 49.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Rublev | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Rublev | 31c | 35.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Borges | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Borges | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…2356backed Borges | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Borges | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Borges | 71c | 25.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Rublev | 45c | 24.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Borges | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-2.5) vs Borges (+2.5)this page
- Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Borges vs. Rublev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Nuno Borges vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Nuno Borges vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev won
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs RublevRublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)Rublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.