Tennis · resolved market
Nuno Borges vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ca6d2441e4d495fb8d2be16cb31f251af432c63ecd8bdff2fd27d29bc7bf6fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc827…c066backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 5,425$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 3,454$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.84 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 1,422$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.63 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under 3.5 | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 36c | 946$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.44 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 810$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.3 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 801.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.86 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…dafdbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 785.16$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 663.08$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.74 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 500.1$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.97 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over 3.5 | 62c | 454.71$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.28 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 447.62$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 392.7$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under 3.5 | 32c | 372$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 317.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 349 | 57.6%201 W · 148 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 278.09$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.59 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 38c | 163.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9df1backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…9dbabacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 150.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…8d99backed Over 3.5 | 57c | 143.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 98.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under 3.5 | 39c | 94.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 90.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 61.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…9afdbacked Under 3.5 | 39c | 61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 54.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under 3.5 | 42c | 47.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 3.5 | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under 3.5 | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Over 3.5 | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01a…1c6ebacked Under 3.5 | 39c | 36.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 32.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Over 3.5 | 62c | 32.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under 3.5 | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under 3.5 | 38c | 28.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under 3.5 | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…0670backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over 3.5 | 69c | 14.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuno Borges vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Borges vs. Rublev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Nuno Borges vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev won
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs RublevRublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)Rublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-2.5) vs Borges (+2.5)Rublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.