Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31189b4b448ffa151e3fad2804a227bac31b46591ccfe412eae3d806d8f524ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rublevof Rublev, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Borges | 47c | 3,724$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Borges | 42c | 3,167$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.34 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Rublev | 55c | 1,464$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.24 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Rublev | 59c | 1,386$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.19 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Rublev | 58c | 1,214$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.5 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Borges | 44c | 1,082$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.95 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rublev | 54c | 1,048$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.07 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Rublev | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Rublev | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Rublev | 58c | 918.4$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.73 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Rublev | 58c | 901.9$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.8 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…dafdbacked Borges | 48c | 824.98$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Rublev | 48c | 754.51$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.44 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked Borges | 45c | 678.21$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Borges | 43c | 603.79$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.9 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Borges | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Rublev | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…6a9fbacked Borges | 45c | 412.51$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rublev | 52c | 282.47$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Rublev | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Borges | 43c | 239.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Rublev | 56c | 227.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Rublev | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…c60dbacked Rublev | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Rublev | 52c | 186$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Rublev | 54c | 180$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Rublev | 55c | 125.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Rublev | 47c | 123$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Borges | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Borges | 45c | 105.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Rublev | 58c | 101.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Rublev | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Borges | 45c | 65.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Borges | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Borges | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Rublev | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…6da8backed Rublev | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Rublev | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Rublev | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Rublev | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…9780backed Borges | 44c | 44.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Borges | 45c | 41.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Rublev | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Rublev | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rublev | 55c | 19.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Rublev | 55c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rublev | 56c | 18.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)this page
- Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Borges vs. Rublev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Nuno Borges vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Nuno Borges vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev won
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs RublevRublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-2.5) vs Borges (+2.5)Rublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.