Tennis · resolved market
Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77efe421c6793840600487eb71b534ebaabf3cd072b1fd0712fa037b971105a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 18,555$7,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,978.77 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 57c | 17,633$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,632.54 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Over | 57c | 6,349$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 1,343$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.84 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 47c | 1,237$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.32 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 1,125$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.4 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 45c | 1,102$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.9 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 55c | 563.79$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.68 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b5…b370backed Over | 55c | 542.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 44c | 541.07$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.07 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Over | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 45c | 290.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 56c | 243.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…c696backed Over | 55c | 182.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 44c | 169.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 119.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 55c | 89.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 71.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 47c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 51.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 53c | 47.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 45c | 43.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Borges vs. Rublev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Nuno Borges vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Nuno Borges vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev won
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs RublevRublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)Rublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-2.5) vs Borges (+2.5)Rublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.