TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2edd…e64a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.59
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.26
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+525%+$236.25
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$98.61
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$79.18
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$95.63
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Germany leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$81.88
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Croatia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$86.03
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athens Open: Alina Korneeva vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set 1 Winner: Zandschulp vs Danielbacked Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$41.09
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)backed Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trieste: Lukas Neumayer vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Plovdiv: Mathys Erhard vs Inaki Montesbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Ognjen Milicbacked Eero Vasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$46.35
Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$31.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Houston Rockets vs. Brooklyn Netsbacked Brooklyn Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.37
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicansbacked Cleveland Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$81.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+117.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$130.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$42.06
FC Sheriff Tiraspol leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$50.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.