Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ecf97480557634aa99f535b70ca3cc12c1343fc46a68bd53a90196264a80c8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 26c | 1,900$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.06 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 1,565$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.91 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 56c | 1,156$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.44 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 35c | 836.82$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.72 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 42c | 621.48$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 55c | 553.27$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.01 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 534.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…6db9backed Yes | 42c | 528.57$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 60c | 431.12$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.67 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 70c | 357.09$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 29c | 260.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 39c | 244.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 32c | 234.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed Yes | 45c | 222.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 64c | 214.35$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 204.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 200.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.53 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 43c | 196.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 41c | 186.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 77c | 169$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 152.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 68c | 144$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 136.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 26c | 135.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 43c | 119.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 54c | 119.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 54c | 97.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 59c | 86.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 58c | 86.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 42c | 79.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed No | 58c | 78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 59c | 77.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 26c | 74.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 25c | 74.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 62c | 72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…e64abacked Yes | 40c | 70.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 74c | 67.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 43c | 57.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 43c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…6768backed Yes | 42c | 50.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 50c | 50.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 57c | 47.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Yes | 42c | 39.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 57c | 29.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 29.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…4d62backed Yes | 43c | 25.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 51c | 24.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…52abbacked Yes | 43c | 24.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 60c | 23.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 56c | 21.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Torpedo Kutaisi win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.