Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3478d618622a9b430a4a6d05556f8da4d3590c33da009f5e10c395ce0cf15f89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 1c | 14,582$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 28c | 12,500$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.36 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 9,443$6,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.01 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 1,324$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.15 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 633$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 416$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 416$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 415.34$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 8c | 357$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…8784backed No | 73c | 322.61$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 73c | 289.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 30c | 281$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 15c | 235.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 15c | 199.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 178$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 169.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 25c | 138.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 73c | 135.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 73c | 120.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 70c | 74.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 72c | 64.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 63.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked No | 71c | 57.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Yes | 23c | 56.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed No | 75c | 55.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 73c | 54.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 52.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 79c | 51.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 72c | 34.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…7fc7backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed No | 76c | 26.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 24.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 72c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…c651backed No | 77c | 13.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Torpedo Kutaisi vs. Zirə FK end in a draw?this page
- Will SK Torpedo Kutaisi win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.