Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd30141baa67ba4234b17a597c92a9da7e3735ca4f4e76b7f7a3cd3cce4386e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fariaof Ruud, Faria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Ruud | 58c | 12,516$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,250 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Faria | 42c | 9,355$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,425.79 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Ruud | 58c | 6,890$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.15 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Faria | 42c | 3,434$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.43 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Ruud | 1c | 1,175$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Ruud | 58c | 1,038$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Faria | 42c | 984.77$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.17 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Faria | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Faria | 42c | 811.56$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.83 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Faria | 42c | 743.51$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.24 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Faria | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Faria | 42c | 521.8$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Faria | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.33 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Faria | 42c | 314.29$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.29 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Faria | 42c | 268.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbc…8c98backed Faria | 56c | 261.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Faria | 42c | 247.62$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Faria | 42c | 238$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Faria | 42c | 225.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Faria | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Faria | 47c | 149$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Faria | 43c | 136$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Faria | 43c | 128.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Faria | 42c | 123.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Faria | 42c | 121.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Faria | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Faria | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Faria | 42c | 113$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Faria | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Faria | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Ruud | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Faria | 45c | 98.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Ruud | 42c | 86.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Ruud | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Faria | 56c | 79.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1c46backed Faria | 42c | 72.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Faria | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Faria | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…e64abacked Ruud | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Faria | 44c | 44.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Ruud | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Ruud | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Faria | 44c | 33.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Faria | 44c | 29.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Faria | 43c | 24.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Faria | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Ruud | 56c | 23.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…2209backed Ruud | 56c | 19.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…7158backed Ruud | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)this page
- Faria vs. Ruud: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Jaime Faria vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Faria vs RuudFaria won
- Set 2 Winner: Faria vs RuudRuud won
- Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper RuudCasper Ruud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.