Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Ruud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x192d8aa5e35d6384c177aab2a90c026cc6528da0cd5b7c242880a2d81988404b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fariaof Faria, Ruud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6796…2617backed Ruud | 33c | 16,000$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,232.52 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Faria | 56c | 10,342$5,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.02 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Faria | 78c | 1,239$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.23 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ruud | 52c | 769.73$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.57 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Faria | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Faria | 47c | 578$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.84 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…9e6cbacked Faria | 52c | 531.51$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Faria | 27c | 483.7$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.7 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Ruud | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Ruud | 72c | 443.13$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Faria | 68c | 400.48$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.89 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Faria | 40c | 363.26$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ruud | 55c | 199.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Ruud | 41c | 133.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Ruud | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Faria | 18c | 128$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…54afbacked Faria | 47c | 126.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Ruud | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Faria | 65c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Faria | 25c | 76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Faria | 68c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Ruud | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Ruud | 33c | 58.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…d4f7backed Ruud | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Faria | 65c | 48.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Faria | 47c | 42.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…e043backed Ruud | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Ruud | 65c | 35.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Faria | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Ruud | 78c | 24.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c9…18ecbacked Faria | 73c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Ruud | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Ruudthis page
- Faria vs. Ruud: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Jaime Faria vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Faria vs RuudRuud won
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)Faria won
- Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper RuudCasper Ruud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.