Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7b727ae093453c691cb31bd64eaff846a2745f1d75c9a7ba5f324e6a0e52822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 38c | 38,750$14,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,024.88 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 35,793$19,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,789.02 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…a698backed Yes | 38c | 28,607$10,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,736.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 13,300$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.09 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Yes | 38c | 12,823$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950.03 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 7,809$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 62c | 6,827$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.74 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 39c | 5,815$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.38 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 4,958$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.51 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 4,958$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.57 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 3,968$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.8 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 37c | 2,894$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.55 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 5c | 2,750$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 2,513$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed Yes | 25c | 2,460$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 2,153$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.41 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.95 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,856$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.59 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 62c | 1,694$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.28 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 62c | 1,536$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.19 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 1,484$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.63 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 1,102$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.95 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 5c | 1,044$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 9c | 929.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 63c | 783.99$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.75 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 79c | 780$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ec16backed No | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 36c | 439$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.96 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 403$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 403$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 48c | 358.63$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.89 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 24c | 300$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.6 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 285.35$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.97 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…b519backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 71c | 263.19$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.53 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 62c | 239.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 62c | 224.22$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Yes | 37c | 221.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.53 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 64c | 210$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de6…3be2backed Yes | 36c | 198$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 25c | 181.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 164.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 28c | 159.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed Yes | 40c | 158$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…e64abacked Yes | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 30c | 138$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f840backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 37c | 102$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…ae16backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 64c | 96.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 62c | 89.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 62c | 85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 36c | 81.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6c81backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…50e1backed Yes | 39c | 77.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 65c | 64.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 63c | 62.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa539…235cbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…20d4backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia leading at halftime?this page
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?No won
- Ghana leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.