Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd618b28a10d3d08ff3db3e11ea0326b4d633b0de919f2ce39727a77ce6b3db10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 48c | 7,125$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.53 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 47c | 6,400$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 6,285$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 4,611$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.06 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 4,495$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.56 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 4,494$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.61 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Yes | 48c | 4,087$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.8 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 3,664$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.34 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 52c | 3,194$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.09 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 48c | 1,546$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.19 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,525$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 53c | 1,399$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.52 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked No | 52c | 1,210$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.62 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 1,098$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.29 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 48c | 999.71$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.98 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 49c | 894.02$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.62 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 48c | 894.01$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.12 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 73c | 862.55$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.68 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 48c | 653.4$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.63 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 52c | 651.63$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.78 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ec16backed Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 49c | 575.68$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 544.07$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.87 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 51c | 501$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…569cbacked Yes | 48c | 485.42$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 479.69$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.25 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 479.01$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 56c | 339.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 48c | 322.7$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 269.17$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 52c | 269.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.97 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 47c | 243.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…88f0backed No | 52c | 242.37$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 53c | 230.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…07b1backed Yes | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192e…d738backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…76abbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…a3f5backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…34d5backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 52c | 181.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 49c | 176.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…3fb3backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb0…d468backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…9bcabacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked No | 52c | 151$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked No | 52c | 149.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffd…d98bbacked Yes | 49c | 146.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 46c | 134.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…b88fbacked No | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 129.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 48c | 121.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes | 48c | 116.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…83e5backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed No | 54c | 81.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 53c | 69.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 54c | 63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e60…282ebacked No | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 61.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 47c | 60.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 47c | 55.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…0765backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 48c | 50.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 53c | 47.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 41c | 45.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 47c | 42.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…22b9backed No | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 166 | 63.9%106 W · 60 L | +20.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 48c | 41.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…384fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…d0dfbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Yes | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…2f81backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 64c | 37.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?this page
- Croatia leading at halftime?Yes won
- Ghana leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.