TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Ognjen Milic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ognjen Milicof Eero Vasa, Ognjen Milic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Eero Vasa17c6,416$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.548,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292b…bf0ebacked Eero Vasa11c5,816$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.773354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ognjen Milic71c1,384$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.964,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Eero Vasa38c1,343$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.995,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Eero Vasa31c1,005$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31049658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ognjen Milic56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.999,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Eero Vasa31c942.36$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5147651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Eero Vasa38c729.27$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Eero Vasa35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ognjen Milic48c677.6$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.724,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ognjen Milic79c654.87$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.588,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Eero Vasa39c597.12$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.887,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Eero Vasa19c541$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0753657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Eero Vasa18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9051457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Eero Vasa18c495$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.144552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Eero Vasa55c430.77$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3796945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Eero Vasa11c342.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.521,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Eero Vasa34c338.09$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.954,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Ognjen Milic61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11753644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Eero Vasa38c284.39$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.073,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0afb…0b12backed Eero Vasa40c268.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1079043.3%39 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ognjen Milic51c262.6$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.956,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Ognjen Milic51c227$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4330132.9%99 W · 202 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ognjen Milic56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Eero Vasa38c199.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.991,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Eero Vasa10c199.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.661,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Eero Vasa11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Ognjen Milic28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5788935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Ognjen Milic28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5727528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Eero Vasa28c178.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.191,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc30…ad13backed Eero Vasa39c176.23$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.731163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Eero Vasa48c168.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.341,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2edd…e64abacked Eero Vasa7c157.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Eero Vasa44c155.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4652355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Ognjen Milic41c155$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.844949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Eero Vasa22c152$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.282,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Eero Vasa43c139.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ognjen Milic51c135.76$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.063,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Eero Vasa15c108.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6166834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Eero Vasa39c100.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.324446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Eero Vasa39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Ognjen Milic63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.031,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Eero Vasa42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4233134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Ognjen Milic62c98.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3852152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Eero Vasa49c91.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6261…2e11backed Eero Vasa34c91.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.572035%7 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Ognjen Milic44c90.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9649943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Eero Vasa25c90.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.866,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Eero Vasa69c89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7673951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Ognjen Milic61c88.78$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.921,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Eero Vasa33c87.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.832,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e48…828fbacked Ognjen Milic61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.977352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda42…ba30backed Ognjen Milic61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.977653.9%41 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Ognjen Milic61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9792355.8%515 W · 408 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Ognjen Milic61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9794255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Ognjen Milic61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9728557.9%165 W · 120 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc06b…76ddbacked Ognjen Milic61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.978050%40 W · 40 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa2e…9d98backed Ognjen Milic61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.977361.6%45 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ognjen Milic70c80.44$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.228,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Ognjen Milic59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.896755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Ognjen Milic49c70.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0236743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed Eero Vasa17c69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.736149.2%30 W · 31 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Ognjen Milic61c57.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5158665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Eero Vasa53c50.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8374346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Ognjen Milic69c50.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.851,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Ognjen Milic40c48.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.073452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Eero Vasa33c47.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.481,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Eero Vasa40c42.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2334729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Ognjen Milic71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2548355.1%266 W · 217 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Ognjen Milic35c41.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0343444.9%195 W · 239 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Ognjen Milic50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Ognjen Milic61c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Ognjen Milic41c36.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.282,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Eero Vasa45c35.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.071,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Ognjen Milic75c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6737255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Eero Vasa41c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.353,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Ognjen Milic42c33.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3528249.3%139 W · 143 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Ognjen Milic40c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4625336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Eero Vasa57c27.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.73,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Ognjen Milic61c26.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.431657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Eero Vasa39c26.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.416,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Eero Vasa50c25.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8887060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Ognjen Milic61c17.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.954746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Ognjen Milic61c16.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.613,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7776…1e8cbacked Eero Vasa80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.