Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Zandschulp vs Daniel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db0c835cf14b35c1b9eb45d76720fc8081e9c1dd55b6bdf208a00cb2a8c6a3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zandschulpof Zandschulp, Daniel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Daniel | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel | 38c | 938.44$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.54 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zandschulp | 55c | 871.92$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.04 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Zandschulp | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Daniel | 49c | 404.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zandschulp | 72c | 384$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Daniel | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zandschulp | 56c | 216.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Daniel | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Zandschulp | 42c | 116.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Zandschulp | 45c | 115.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zandschulp | 73c | 104$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Zandschulp | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Zandschulp | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Daniel | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Zandschulp | 55c | 81.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zandschulp | 63c | 78.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zandschulp | 49c | 78.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…d6e6backed Zandschulp | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.6wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…e64abacked Daniel | 46c | 67.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Zandschulp | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Daniel | 33c | 45.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Zandschulp | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Zandschulp | 53c | 37.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Daniel | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Zandschulp | 51c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Zandschulp vs Danielthis page
- Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro DanielBotic van de Zandschulp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.