Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf83f06006c5d78d3d0ed21f7e8485694916381f481a1087a029325a928dadc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulof Zverev, Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Paul | 35c | 1,123$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.94 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Zverev | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Zverev | 46c | 876.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Paul | 54c | 593.63$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.07 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Zverev | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Paul | 56c | 400.26$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Zverev | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Zverev | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Paul | 54c | 322.46$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Paul | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Paul | 61c | 260$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Paul | 55c | 226.17$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Zverev | 44c | 223.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Paul | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…7f76backed Paul | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Paul | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Zverev | 46c | 115.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Zverev | 44c | 113.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Paul | 43c | 109.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Zverev | 45c | 109.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Paul | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zverev | 46c | 99.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Paul | 55c | 90.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Zverev | 57c | 88.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…0a19backed Zverev | 46c | 76.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Zverev | 46c | 73.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…8d8dbacked Zverev | 46c | 62.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Paul | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Paul | 45c | 59.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…3c0ebacked Zverev | 55c | 54.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Paul | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Zverev | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Paul | 55c | 37.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Zverev | 65c | 35.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Zverev | 46c | 35.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080c…b063backed Paul | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Zverev | 57c | 19.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy PaulTommy Paul won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs PaulZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs PaulPaul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.